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能繁母牛存栏降至十年低位,畜牧ETF(159867)红盘向上
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-01 03:03

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the cattle inventory has dropped to a ten-year low, leading to a three-year upward cycle in beef prices, while raw milk prices have fallen below cost, triggering capacity reduction. Leading companies like Modern Farming are expected to see a profit turning point by 2025 [1] - The livestock industry is entering a deep adjustment period, where high-quality companies with low costs and strong capital chains will stand out, indicating long-term high-quality development potential [1][2] - The investment opportunities in the pig industry are primarily driven by policy measures aimed at controlling new production capacity, which will accelerate the exit of inefficient and high-cost producers, thereby supporting prices [2] Group 2 - The pig industry has entered a stable development phase characterized by "capacity reduction + strong players," with market share redistribution occurring among existing players as low-efficiency and high-cost production gradually gets eliminated [2] - The criteria for high-quality companies are becoming clearer, focusing on low-cost breeding capabilities and sufficient capital reserves to withstand policy changes or price fluctuations [2] - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) includes major companies in the livestock sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies involved in livestock feed, pharmaceuticals, and breeding [2][3] Group 3 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 64.83% of the index, including companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Haida Group [3]