Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-01 04:26Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, with projections indicating a drop of 39.5% to 43.7% year-on-year, primarily due to falling oil prices and low refining margins [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For 2025H1, the expected net profit attributable to shareholders is between 20.1 billion to 21.6 billion yuan, with Q2 alone projected to be between 6.8 billion to 8.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 52.1% to 60.7% [1][2]. - The average price of Brent crude oil in Q2 is expected to be $66.71 per barrel, down 21.5% year-on-year and 11.0% quarter-on-quarter, contributing to the pressure on profits [2]. Group 2: Operational Insights - The company has increased its oil and gas equivalent production by 2.0% year-on-year in 2025H1, with domestic crude oil production at 126.73 million barrels (up 0.2% year-on-year) and natural gas production at 20.9 billion cubic meters (up 5.1% year-on-year) [2][3]. - In refining, the company processed 111.97 million tons of crude oil in 2025H1, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, with gasoline and diesel production down 4.8% and 17.2% respectively [3]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on optimizing its production and operational efficiency, aiming to enhance its competitive edge through reforms and structural adjustments during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [4]. - Capital expenditure for upstream operations in 2025 is planned at 76.7 billion yuan, with a target of 1.3% growth in oil and gas equivalent production [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is committed to long-term strategies, including investments in new energy and materials, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 revised to 45.3 billion, 55.5 billion, and 66.2 billion yuan respectively [5]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating for its A-shares and H-shares, anticipating improved performance as chemical market conditions stabilize and new capacities come online [5][6].