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中信证券谈A股此次调整:换挡调速很正常,牛市所有人都会起舞
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-01 04:47

Group 1 - The recent adjustment in A-shares is seen as a natural occurrence in the current bull market, which may alleviate some investors' anxiety [1] - Historical analysis shows that bull markets often experience adjustments, with significant declines observed in previous bull runs, such as over 5%, 15%, and 20% in 2007 and multiple declines exceeding 10% in 2015 [1] - After surpassing 3600 points, market volatility tends to increase, with average daily fluctuations rising by over 48% in 2007 and 45% in 2015, particularly notable in indices like the Wind All A and ChiNext [1] Group 2 - The current market environment is characterized by high capital enthusiasm, with A-shares exceeding 1 trillion in trading volume for 70 consecutive days and margin financing reaching 1.97 trillion yuan, a 10-year high [1] - Valuation levels remain relatively low, with 20 out of 30 major industries having dynamic price-to-earnings ratios in the lower 50% historical range, indicating that most sectors are not considered expensive at the 3600-point level [1]