Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates a sustained high growth in overseas data center-related CAPEX since the first half of 2024, with upward revisions to future expectations driven by AI demand [1] Group 1: CAPEX Trends - Overseas CSPs have revised their CAPEX expectations upward, indicating an improving investment climate for data centers [1] - Microsoft, Google, and Meta have all increased their CAPEX forecasts for Q2 2025, with Meta raising its full-year CAPEX expectation to $66-72 billion (previously $64-72 billion) and Google adjusting its FY2025 CAPEX to $85 billion (previously $75 billion) [1] - Microsoft’s Q2 2025 CAPEX is projected at $24.2 billion, with expectations to exceed $30 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 50% [1] Group 2: Importance of Power Supply - The transition from traditional computing to intelligent computing has led to significant increases in power consumption, necessitating advancements in AIDC power supply technology [2] - The importance of high efficiency, high density, and high stability power supplies is expected to continue rising as AI demand evolves [2] - The entire power supply chain, from grid power (10kV+) to final chip (<1V), is undergoing technological upgrades, enhancing the value of power systems in AIDC [2] Group 3: Export Opportunities - The overseas AIDC CSP cycle is leading, with AI power supply exports likely to be the first beneficiaries of the AI technology infrastructure wave [3] - High barriers to entry in the overseas AIDC power market favor companies like Delta and Vertiv, which possess strong technical and ecological advantages [3] - As domestic Chinese companies continue to close the technology gap with Taiwanese and foreign firms, they are expected to benefit from the overseas AICAPEX boom [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the AIDC power sector that are likely to benefit from the improving overseas investment climate include Magpower (002851.SZ), Hewei Electric (603063.SH), Xinle Energy (300593.SZ), Tonghe Technology (300491.SZ), Oulu Tong (300870.SZ), and Zhongheng Electric (002364.SZ) [4] - In the AIDC power supply segment, key companies to watch include Jinpan Technology (688676.SH), Mingyang Electric (301291.SZ), Weiteng Electric (688226.SH), and Liangxin Co., Ltd. (002706.SZ) [4]
东方证券:海外云厂商CAPEX上修 数据中心电源需求激活