智通财经网·2025-08-01 07:45Core Viewpoint - UBS estimates that AIA Group (01299) will see a 10% year-on-year increase in operating profit per share for the first half of the year, with post-tax operating profit expected to grow by 5% [1]. Financial Performance - The mid-term dividend is projected to increase by 9% to HKD 0.48 per share, although UBS believes that there will be no updates to the share buyback plan for the time being [1]. - UBS forecasts that the new business value (VNB) for AIA in the first half will grow by 16% and 15% when calculated at actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) respectively [1]. - The growth rate for the second quarter is expected to accelerate to 21% and 18% for AER and CER respectively, compared to 13% in the first quarter [1]. Market Performance - The strong performance in the Hong Kong and China markets is a key driver of growth, with the VNB growth rate in Hong Kong expected to rise from 16% in the first quarter to 28% [1]. - Excluding the impact of economic expectations, the VNB in the Chinese market is anticipated to grow by 12% [1]. Leadership Changes - Du Jiaqi will assume the role of new chairman on October 1, and significant strategic adjustments for the company are expected to become clearer following his appointment [1]. - UBS maintains a target price of HKD 88 and a "Buy" rating for AIA [1].