华创证券：自免疗法迈向双抗/多抗时代 国内市场空间提升潜力大

Core Insights - The autoimmune disease treatment market is the second largest pharmaceutical market globally, with significant growth potential in China [1][2] - The global autoimmune market reached $132.3 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow to $176.7 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.68% from 2022 to 2030 [1] - China's autoimmune market is only 8% of its oncology market, indicating substantial room for growth compared to the global ratio of 64.5% [1] Group 1: Market Overview - The autoimmune disease market is the second largest after oncology, with a global market size of $132.3 billion in 2022 [1] - The market is projected to grow to $176.7 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 3.68% [1] - In China, the autoimmune market was valued at $2.9 billion in 2022, significantly lower than the oncology market at $34.7 billion [1] Group 2: Drug Development - The autoimmune sector has seen the emergence of several blockbuster monoclonal antibody drugs [2] - Three monoclonal antibodies are expected to be among the top 10 global drug sales in 2024, each exceeding $10 billion in sales [2] - These include Dupilumab by Sanofi/Regeneron, Risankizumab by AbbVie/BI, and Ustekinumab by Johnson & Johnson [2] Group 3: Disease Complexity - There are approximately 150 known autoimmune diseases, which can be categorized into systemic and organ-specific autoimmune diseases [3] - A study published in 2023 indicated a prevalence rate of about 10% for autoimmune diseases among a cohort of 22 million individuals in the UK, with 63.9% of new cases being female [3] - Autoimmune diseases exhibit seasonal and regional variations in prevalence [3]