Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-01 08:25Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in Q2 2025, with a revenue decline but significant profit growth, indicating resilience in its operations despite market pressures [1][4]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was 51.7 billion yuan, down 3% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.3 billion yuan, up 50% year-on-year. For the first half of 2025, revenue totaled 112 billion yuan, down 6%, and net profit was 9.3 billion yuan, up 24% [1]. - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 reached 30.7 billion yuan, an increase of 30% year-on-year, supported by reduced financial expenses, which fell by 15% [2]. Coal Power Sector - Despite pressure on electricity prices, the average coal price for Q2 2025 decreased by 13% year-on-year, leading to a significant increase in pre-tax profit per kilowatt-hour to 4.4 cents, compared to 1.5 cents in the same period last year [1]. - Coal power generation hours were under pressure, with a 3.5% year-on-year decline in electricity output, and the settlement price for coal power decreased by 6% to 479 yuan per megawatt-hour [1]. Renewable Energy Sector - Wind and solar power prices continued to face pressure, but solar power's pre-tax profit per kilowatt-hour was recorded at 1.7 cents, which was better than expected. Wind power's pre-tax profit was approximately 1.6 cents, down 10% year-on-year [1]. Dividend and Long-term Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong dividend capability, with a projected dividend of 0.27 yuan per share for 2024, an increase of 35% year-on-year, and a dividend payout ratio of 59% [3]. - The company is optimistic about its long-term dividend yield, projecting 4% for A-shares and 6% for H-shares, supported by robust cash flow and profit release from coal prices [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 10% and 3.6%, respectively, to 12.7 billion yuan and 13.1 billion yuan [4]. - The target price for H-shares has been raised by 25% to 6.69 yuan, while the target price for A-shares remains unchanged at 10.49 yuan, indicating potential upside of 43% for A-shares and 25% for H-shares [4].