Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with new jobs anticipated to drop to 110,000 from 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate is projected to rise slightly from 4.1% to 4.2% [3] - Analysts believe that despite signs of cooling in the labor market, this is not sufficient to prompt the Federal Reserve to immediately lower interest rates, especially given the inflationary pressures from new tariff policies [3] - The market has shifted expectations for a rate cut from September to October, with some analysts warning that the window for the Fed to implement easing policies is narrowing due to rising prices from tariffs [3] Group 2 - Technical analysis of gold indicates that the market is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum, with the 5-month moving average moving up to 3293, suggesting that short-term support is weakening [4] - The price of gold is currently in a wide trading range between 3452 and 3246, with a potential downward movement towards the 10-month moving average around 3050 as tariffs take effect and safe-haven demand decreases [4] - The focus for gold prices this week is on the mid-band level of 3275; a close below this level could open further downside potential, while a close above it would suggest continued wide fluctuations [4]
美国7月就业增长料放缓 黄金多头动能显衰竭
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-01 09:05