Home Depot vs. Lowe's: Which DIY Giant Wins?

Core Viewpoint - The home improvement industry is a significant segment of the retail sector, valued at $1 trillion, with Home Depot and Lowe's as the leading competitors [1][2]. Company Analysis - Home Depot and Lowe's are both profitable companies that return substantial capital to shareholders, making them attractive options for investors seeking exposure to the home improvement market [2]. - Home Depot derives 50% of its revenue from professional customers, while Lowe's only captures 30% from this segment, giving Home Depot a competitive advantage [6]. - Home Depot's trailing-12-month revenue stands at $163 billion, nearly double Lowe's $83 billion, indicating a stronger market position [11]. - Lowe's is actively working to close the gap with Home Depot by enhancing its pro division and improving customer loyalty programs [12]. Market Conditions - The home improvement sector is currently facing challenges due to higher interest rates affecting the housing market, leading to reduced spending on large purchases [4]. - Despite current struggles, the long-term outlook remains positive due to factors such as the aging housing stock in the U.S., which will require more maintenance and renovations [8]. - There is a significant supply and demand imbalance in the housing market, with millions of homes in inventory shortage, which may lead homeowners to invest in renovations rather than purchasing new homes [9]. - The increase in home prices over the past five years has created trillions of dollars in untapped equity, suggesting potential pent-up demand for home improvement products once macro conditions improve [10]. Valuation Comparison - As of July 28, Lowe's shares are trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1, which is a 25% discount compared to Home Depot's 25.6 multiple, indicating a potential for better returns from Lowe's in the next five years [13].