Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains its outperform rating for Melco International Development (00200) and raises the target price by 14% to HKD 5.80, indicating a 7% upside potential based on the current discount level corresponding to a 20% net asset discount rate [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Melco Resorts & Entertainment reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 results with net revenue of USD 1.328 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 91% of Q2 2019 levels [2] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Q2 2025 was USD 378 million, up 25% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 84% of Q2 2019 levels, exceeding the consensus estimate of USD 347 million [2] Group 2: Management Insights - Management indicated that the strong trend from June 2025 continued into July 2025, with expectations for this trend to persist into Q3 2025, benefiting from record visitor numbers at Macau properties and sustained performance from high-end gaming [3] - The company plans to close the Dragon Palace Casino and three Mocha slot machine clubs by the end of 2025, with an impairment loss of approximately USD 56 million recognized in Q2 2025 [3] - Management is optimistic about the benefits from the closure of competing satellite casinos and is focused on enhancing product offerings to retain customers [3] Group 3: Non-Gaming Revenue and New Developments - The "The House of Dancing Water" show has positively impacted non-gaming revenue by attracting visitors to City of Dreams Macau, with efforts to convert visitor traffic into gaming revenue [4] - Despite the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict on City of Dreams Cyprus, summer hotel bookings have significantly increased [4] - City of Dreams Sri Lanka is set to open on August 1, 2025, targeting Indian customers, with expectations for a longer ramp-up period due to its status as the first resort of its kind in South Asia [4] - City of Dreams Manila's performance remained stable in July 2025, and Melco Resorts repurchased approximately USD 120 million worth of shares at around USD 5 per ADS in April and May 2025 [4]
中金:升新濠国际发展(00200)目标价至5.80港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级