货币市场预期欧洲央行在2026年3月降息的可能性为80%，而美国数据公布前的预期为65%。

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates an 80% probability of the European Central Bank (ECB) lowering interest rates by March 2026, while the expectation for the U.S. data release stands at 65% [1] Group 1 - The expectation for the ECB's interest rate cut reflects a significant market sentiment towards easing monetary policy in Europe [1] - The U.S. market shows a slightly lower expectation for interest rate cuts, indicating a divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the two regions [1]