Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-01 13:49Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangxun Technology, is expected to see significant growth in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, driven by rapid growth in computing power investments and a leading market share among domestic cloud service providers [2][3][6]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 3.23 to 4.07 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.0% to 95.0% [2]. - For Q2 2025, the expected net profit is between 1.73 to 2.57 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.1% to 96.2% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the sales gross margin was 25.61%, an increase of 3.08 percentage points year-on-year and 5.47 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4]. Market Position and Product Offering - The company has a strong vertical integration capability and offers a full range of optical communication modules and related products, which are widely used in data centers, backbone networks, metropolitan area networks, broadband access networks, wireless communications, and the Internet of Things [3][5]. - In 2024, the revenue share from access and data communication products was 61.67%, while transmission products accounted for 37.50% [3]. - The company ranked sixth among global optical module manufacturers according to LightCounting, with a market share of 4.7% in the data communication optical device market and 5.7% in the telecom optical device market [4]. Research and Development - The company emphasizes R&D innovation, with R&D expenses increasing by 55.14% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [5]. - It possesses comprehensive solutions and flexible manufacturing capabilities, with annual shipment volumes ranking among the top three in the industry [5]. Industry Outlook - The demand for optical modules is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing investments in AI and computing power, with the global data communication optical module market projected to grow at a CAGR of 27% from 2024 to 2029 [5]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high demand in the optical module industry, particularly in the context of the ongoing AI commercialization wave [5]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 11.77 billion yuan, 15.09 billion yuan, and 18.11 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 35.45X, 27.65X, and 23.03X [6]. - The initial coverage of the stock has been rated as "Buy" [6].