Alaska Air Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Decrease Year Over Year

Core Insights - Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported Q2 2025 earnings of $1.78 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 but down 30.2% year over year [1][9] - Operating revenues reached $3.70 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.65 billion, and increased by 27.8% year over year, with passenger revenues contributing 90.5% of the total [1][9] Financial Performance - Passenger revenues totaled $3.35 billion, while cargo and other revenues grew 93% year over year to $139 million, and loyalty program revenues increased by 21% to $210 million [2] - Revenue per available seat mile (RASM) decreased by 3.3% to 15.39 cents, and yield fell by 4% to 16.62 cents [3] - Consolidated traffic grew 31.8% to 20.17 billion revenue passenger miles, while capacity increased by 32.2% to 24.05 billion average seat miles, leading to a slight drop in load factor to 83.9% from 84.1% [4] Operating Expenses - Total operating expenses rose by 33% to $3.42 billion, with economic fuel prices per gallon decreasing by 15.8% to $2.39 [5] - Consolidated operating costs per available seat mile (excluding fuel and special items) increased by 10.2% [5] Liquidity and Capital Structure - As of June 30, 2025, Alaska Air had $750 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $1.04 billion in the previous quarter, with long-term debt increasing to $4.44 billion [6] - The debt-to-capitalization ratio stood at 60% at the end of the reported quarter, and the company repurchased 8.7 million shares for $428 million during Q2 [6] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, ALK anticipates adjusted earnings per share between $1.00 and $1.40, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $1.55 [7] - The company expects available seat miles to decrease by 1% year over year, with RASM projected to remain flat or increase by low single digits, while CASM is expected to rise by mid to high single digits [7] - For the full year 2025, ALK expects adjusted earnings per share to exceed $3.25, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $3.33 [8][10]