国际货币基金组织上调中国经济预期

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly raised China's economic growth forecast for 2025 from 4% to 4.8%, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year [1] - The report emphasizes China's economic resilience amid global uncertainties, highlighting structural reforms and policy optimizations that have bolstered its growth [1][3] - Other international financial institutions, such as Deutsche Bank, have also increased their growth expectations for China, recognizing its long-term competitiveness [1] Group 2 - The upward revision of China's growth forecast is driven by three main factors: domestic demand, exports, and innovation [2] - Domestic demand has become a key driver of economic growth, contributing 68.8% to GDP growth in the first half of the year, with final consumption accounting for 52% [2] - Despite external pressures, China's export trade remains resilient, with a projected record high in goods trade for 2024, providing strong support for economic growth [2] Group 3 - China's robust economic growth is injecting significant momentum into the global economy, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, surpassing international expectations [3] - The country is recognized for its role as a global trade powerhouse, with total import and export exceeding $6 trillion, contributing positively to global trade stability [3][4] - China's high-quality development and innovation are seen as key factors in providing stability and certainty to the global economy, reinforcing its position as a growth engine [4]