Trade Policy Impact - The Trump administration's trade protectionism has raised U.S. tariffs on foreign goods to the highest level since World War II, with an average tariff rate reaching 17.3%, the highest since 1935 [1][3] - Yale University's budget lab estimates that nearly 45% of imported products are subject to high tariffs, leading to a projected price increase of 1.8% by 2025, equating to a loss of $2,400 in average household income [6][7] - The tariffs are expected to significantly impact consumer prices, with clothing prices projected to rise by 38% and footwear prices by 40% in the short term [6][7] Economic Consequences - The tariffs are anticipated to reduce U.S. GDP growth by 0.5 percentage points annually in 2025 and 2026, with a long-term economic contraction of 0.4% [7][8] - The labor market will also be affected, with an expected increase in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2025 and a reduction of nearly 500,000 jobs [7][8] Global Trade Dynamics - Experts suggest that the tariffs may lead to a reordering of global trade, violating WTO rules by imposing different tariffs on different trading partners [9][10] - The imposition of "reciprocal tariffs" is seen as a significant shift towards U.S. trade protectionism, potentially impacting the global trade system [9][10] - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has noted a surge in U.S. imports in anticipation of tariff increases, but growth is expected to slow down later in the year due to inventory pressures [10]
美国关税已推至二战以来最高水平,如何影响美国经济和消费?
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-08-02 12:19