美股，重大警告！

Group 1 - The average effective tariff rate imposed by the U.S. on imported goods has reached 18.3%, the highest level since 1934 [1][2] - The tariff policy is projected to reduce the U.S. GDP growth rate by 0.5 percentage points annually in 2025 and 2026 [1][2] - By the end of 2025, the unemployment rate in the U.S. is expected to rise by 0.3 percentage points, and by 0.7 percentage points by the end of 2026 [1][2] Group 2 - The average household expenditure in the U.S. is anticipated to increase by $2,400 due to the tariff policy, with significant impacts on clothing and footwear prices [2] - Short-term price increases for shoes and clothing are projected at 40% and 38%, respectively, while long-term increases are estimated at 19% and 17% [2] - The tariffs on Swiss watches could lead to a short-term price increase of 39.7% due to a proposed 39% tariff [2] Group 3 - The U.S. stock market has experienced a significant decline, with a total market value loss exceeding $1 trillion, attributed to the tariff policy and weak employment conditions [3] - The recent weak employment report has intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts [3][4] - Analysts are closely monitoring upcoming economic data to assess the likelihood of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts in September [4]