耶鲁大学最新研究:美消费者面临1934年以来最高关税税率

Core Insights - The average effective tariff rate on imported goods in the U.S. has reached 18.3%, the highest level since 1934 [2] - Tariff policies are projected to reduce the U.S. GDP growth rate by 0.5 percentage points annually in 2025 and 2026 [2] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2025 and by 0.7 percentage points by the end of 2026 due to tariffs [2] Economic Impact - The average household expenditure in the U.S. is anticipated to increase by $2,400 by 2025, with significant impacts on clothing prices [2] - Short-term price increases for consumers are projected to be 40% for footwear and 38% for clothing [2] - Long-term price increases are expected to stabilize at 19% for footwear and 17% for clothing [2]