耶鲁大学：美消费者面临1934年以来最高关税税率

Core Insights - The average effective tariff rate on imported goods in the U.S. has reached 18.3%, the highest level since 1934 [1] - Tariff policies are projected to reduce the U.S. GDP growth rate by 0.5 percentage points annually in 2025 and 2026 [1] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2025 and by 0.7 percentage points by the end of 2026 due to tariffs [1] Economic Impact - The average household expenditure in the U.S. is anticipated to increase by $2,400 by 2025, with significant impacts on clothing prices [1] - Short-term price increases for consumer goods are projected, with shoe prices rising by 40% and clothing prices by 38% [1] - Long-term projections indicate shoe prices may increase by 19% and clothing prices by 17% [1]