美联储降息三大条件渐趋成熟

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses potential catalysts that may lead the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings, highlighting the current economic indicators and market conditions [1]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The labor market is showing signs of a sharp slowdown, which could influence the Federal Reserve's decision-making process [1]. - Actual inflation rates are reported to be lower than expected, suggesting a potential easing of monetary policy [1]. - There are indications that any inflation caused by tariffs may be temporary, further supporting the case for rate cuts [1]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Outlook - Russell Investments' Chief Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman believes that the Federal Reserve will have sufficient data, time, and policy clarity to reconsider rate cuts at the next meeting in September [1]. - Eitelman anticipates that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will open the door to the possibility of rate cuts during his press conference [1]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The RSI indicator is currently around 58.4, indicating that the market has not yet entered an overbought territory, suggesting further upward momentum is possible [1]. - However, the market is at a critical juncture, requiring new catalysts to break through the 100 mark [1].