产业链淡季量价趋稳，关注固态商业化落地

Core Insights - The lithium battery sector has shown significant activity since July 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 and SSE 50 indices, with the lithium mining segment leading with an 11% increase [1][2] - Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices have decreased by 8% and 7% respectively in July, indicating a downward trend in raw material costs [2] - The sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 1.11 million units in June, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27% and a cumulative increase of 39% for the first half of the year [2][4] Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery sector has experienced a recovery in monthly transaction volumes, driven by active trading in solid-state battery segments [1][2] - The three-year historical valuation of over half of the lithium battery-related segments is at a high level, indicating increased market attention [2] New Technologies - Lithium metal anodes are identified as a long-term direction for battery technology, with the potential to achieve energy densities exceeding 500Wh/kg [3] - The first global test of a lithium metal anode solid-state battery was conducted by Mercedes, with predictions of a market size nearing 10 billion yuan by 2030 [3] Energy Storage - In June, domestic energy storage installations fell to 6.9 GWh, a year-on-year decrease of 41%, while cumulative installations for the first half of the year reached 49.0 GWh, a 162% increase [5] - The U.S. energy storage market remained relatively stable, with 3.7 GWh installed in June, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32% for the first half of the year [5] Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is expected to transition from broad market-driven growth to structural opportunities led by technological breakthroughs and new application areas in 2025 [7] - Key companies recommended for investment include CATL, EVE Energy, and Keda Technology, as well as Xiamen Tungsten [7]