Buy or Sell MetLife Stock Ahead of Earnings?

Company Overview - MetLife (NYSE:MET) is expected to announce earnings on August 6, 2025, with projected earnings of approximately $2.16 per share, slightly lower than the previous year, and revenues around $18.50 billion, reflecting a decline of about 1% year-over-year [2] - The company has a current market capitalization of $53 billion, with total revenue for the past twelve months at $72 billion and net income reported at $4.5 billion [2] Earnings Performance - In the last quarter, MetLife experienced increased life underwriting margins, growth in volume, and variable investment income, although these were partially offset by negative impacts from foreign currency and lower recurring interest margins [2] - Historical data indicates that over the past five years, MetLife had 20 earnings data points with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive 1D returns occurring roughly 40% of the time [5] - The median of the 8 positive returns was 2.2%, while the median of the 12 negative returns was -1.8% [5] Correlation Analysis - A strategy to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can be effective, particularly if the correlation is strong [6] - Correlation data indicates that the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns can guide trading decisions [6][7] - The performance of peers can also impact MetLife's stock reaction following earnings, with historical data showing the influence of peer stock performance on MetLife's post-earnings returns [7][8]