Petrobras to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in the Offing for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Petrobras (PBR) is expected to report second-quarter earnings of 71 cents per share on revenues of $20.8 billion, reflecting a significant year-over-year growth in earnings but a decline in revenues compared to the previous year [1][3]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the first quarter, Petrobras reported adjusted earnings of 62 cents per ADS, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 92 cents, with revenues of $21 billion also falling short of the $21.6 billion estimate [2]. - The company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.3% [3]. Group 2: Production and Operational Highlights - Petrobras is projected to have a strong second quarter, with total oil, gas, and natural gas liquids production increasing by 5% quarter-over-quarter to 2.91 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MMboed) [4]. - The company brought 14 new wells online, contributing to production milestones, including a record 4.19 MMboed of operated production and 2.39 MMboed of pre-salt output [5]. - Refining performance improved, with overall oil product production rising by 1.4% to 1,730 mbpd, and diesel output increasing by 2.4% to 680 mbpd [6]. Group 3: Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive production growth, Petrobras faced higher losses due to stoppages and maintenance, along with a natural decline in production [7]. - The Zacks model does not predict an earnings beat for PBR this time, as the Earnings ESP is 0.00% [10].