Annaly Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates as Net Interest Income Rises Y/Y

Core Insights - Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings available for distribution (EAD) per average share of 73 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4% and reflecting a 7.4% increase from the previous year, primarily driven by a significant rise in net interest income (NII) [1][10] Financial Performance - NLY's net interest income (NII) for the second quarter of 2025 was $273.2 million, a substantial increase from $53.6 million in the same quarter of the previous year, attributed to rising loan demand and lower mortgage rates [3][10] - The company's 2025 earnings outlook has been raised, supported by tightening spreads and improving asset prices [10] Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates by 100 basis points in 2024 has led to a slight decline in mortgage rates, improving housing affordability [2] - With lower rates and balanced supply/affordability in the mortgage market, loan demand is increasing, which is beneficial for NLY's NII [3] Competitive Landscape - AGNC Investment's NII also benefited from lower mortgage rates, reporting $162 million in the second quarter of 2025, compared to a net interest expense of $3 million in the prior-year quarter [5] - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) experienced a decline in NII by 21.9% year over year to $68.7 million in the second quarter of 2025, but is expected to see an increase in net interest spreads due to declining mortgage rates [7] Valuation Metrics - NLY shares have appreciated by 22.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 8.1% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 1.07X, which is above the industry average of 0.96X [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NLY's 2025 earnings implies a year-over-year growth of 6.3%, with the estimate revised upward over the past week [15]