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以创新破内卷 以提质求生存 光伏行业重塑竞争新规则
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-04 18:51

Core Insights - The photovoltaic (PV) industry in China is experiencing a positive turnaround, with a significant increase in cumulative power generation and an optimistic outlook for future installations [1][10] - The focus of the industry is shifting from cost reduction to quality enhancement and efficiency improvement, driven by technological innovation [2][10] - Domestic PV equipment manufacturers are gaining a competitive edge globally due to advancements in technology and reduced reliance on imports [4][10] Industry Performance - In the first half of the year, China's cumulative PV power generation reached 559.1 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a year-on-year increase of 42.9%, with an average utilization rate of 94% [1][6] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association has revised its forecast for global PV installations in 2025 from 531-583 GW to 570-630 GW, and for China specifically from 215-255 GW to 270-300 GW [1][10] Technological Advancements - The main theme in the PV industry is transitioning from cost-cutting to quality and efficiency improvements, with high-efficiency PV modules currently achieving efficiencies of 23.5% [2] - Innovations in materials, processes, and equipment are essential for achieving these improvements, with a theoretical efficiency limit for crystalline silicon solar cells at 29.4% and potential breakthroughs with perovskite tandem cells [2] Equipment and Orders - The market for PV equipment is showing signs of recovery, with prices for polysilicon, wafers, and cells rebounding, and a positive order intake for leading equipment manufacturers [6][10] - Companies like Jiangsu Jiangsong Technology are seeing demand for new equipment that aligns with advanced technologies such as TOPCon and BC processes, as well as upgrades for existing equipment [6][10] Industry Outlook - Experts express optimism about the industry's future, citing government efforts to address "involution" and the potential for significant growth driven by the dual carbon goals and technological advancements [10][11] - The industry is expected to overcome current challenges, with a focus on enhancing value and establishing new competitive rules [12]