
Company Performance - Allegiant Travel reported quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.83 per share, but down from $1.77 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +48.19% [1] - The company posted revenues of $689.38 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.29%, compared to $666.28 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Allegiant Travel has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Allegiant Travel shares have declined approximately 48.9% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 6.1% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$1.62 on revenues of $599.03 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.70 on revenues of $2.67 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Allegiant Travel was unfavorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry, to which Allegiant Travel belongs, is currently in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]