德国化工企业预计2026年行业方见曙光

Group 1 - The German chemical industry is projected to see a 2% decline in production by 2025, with recovery expected in 2026 [1] - In the first half of this year, production in the German chemical sector fell approximately 15% compared to the same period in 2018, with a year-on-year decline of 3% and a sales drop of 2% [1] - The average utilization rate of German chemical companies is at 80%, with around 40% of firms facing order shortages [1] Group 2 - The chief economist of Deutsche Bank indicated that U.S. tariff policies will significantly reduce the export volume of the German chemical industry to the U.S. [1] - Major German chemical companies like BASF and Covestro have lowered their profit forecasts for 2025 due to weak demand and uncertainties related to tariff policies [1] - The German Chemical Industry Association highlighted that high operational costs, complicated approval processes, and rising raw material prices are causing many companies to delay investment plans in Germany [1] Group 3 - The association emphasized the need for Germany to enhance energy transition management, balancing supply security, climate protection, and cost affordability [2] - It suggested that industrial policies should support innovation and technological advancement to improve economic and industry resilience [2] - The association proposed establishing a capital market and banking union within the EU framework to consolidate resources and stimulate investment [2]