20cm速递 | 科创综指ETF国泰（589630）盘中飘红，科技主线或受益于政策与产业周期共振

Group 1 - The current long-term interest rate decline is slowing, and domestic and international disturbances are turning positive, which, along with policies aimed at "de-involution," supports capacity clearing, improves competitive landscape, and revives inflation, benefiting the ChiNext Index and technology sectors [1] - In the industrial sector, new growth drivers such as AI (computing power), Hong Kong internet, innovative pharmaceuticals, new consumption, and new energy (vehicles) are entering their respective cyclical turning points, providing conditions for undervalued large-cap growth and the return of "intermediate assets" to excess effectiveness [1] - The ChiNext Index and technology sectors are expected to continue their superior performance in the third quarter, with innovative pharmaceuticals and optical modules maintaining strong performance due to overseas demand [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext Index is currently valued below the historical 30th percentile, and its earnings growth and trends are advantageous compared to broad-based indices, making it a likely beneficiary direction [1] - The Guotai ETF (589630) tracks the ChiNext Index (000680), with a daily fluctuation limit of 20%. This index selects representative listed companies from the Shanghai Stock Exchange's ChiNext market to reflect the overall performance of the ChiNext market [1] - The ChiNext Index has a balanced industry distribution, covering multiple technology innovation fields such as power equipment, machinery manufacturing, and pharmaceuticals, showcasing the diversification characteristics of the ChiNext board in the technology innovation sector [1]