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太平洋证券:临床数据决定BD价值 PD~(L)1双抗重塑免疫治疗
PACIFIC SECURITIESPACIFIC SECURITIES(SH:601099) 智通财经网·2025-08-05 06:25

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the significance of VEGF dual antibodies in the treatment of PD-L1 positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), highlighting the need for effective therapies due to the limitations of current PD-(L)1 treatments and the impending patent cliff for key drugs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Potential and Challenges - The PD-(L)1 market is projected to exceed $50 billion in sales by 2024 and reach $90 billion by 2028, with core drug patents expiring in 2028, creating a demand for dual antibodies as a potential solution to mitigate the patent cliff [1]. - Current PD-(L)1 therapies have an objective response rate (ORR) of only 10-20%, with limited efficacy in cold tumors and low PD-L1 expressing populations, indicating a significant unmet clinical need that dual antibodies could address [1]. Group 2: Business Development (BD) Opportunities - Major pharmaceutical companies (MNCs) have a strong need for BD collaborations to fill pipeline gaps, enhance therapeutic efficacy through combination therapies, and secure positions in large indication markets such as lung cancer [2]. - The first tier of companies has established itself with successful clinical trials, while the second tier is gaining attention as they progress through early clinical data readouts [3]. Group 3: Clinical Advancements and Innovations - Companies like CanSino Biologics with AK112 have shown promising results in head-to-head trials against PD-1, with multiple phase III clinical trials underway [3]. - Innovations in dual antibodies, such as IBI363 from Innovent Biologics, demonstrate effectiveness in treating IO-resistant populations and cold tumors, with significant progression-free survival (mPFS) rates reported [3]. - The development of tri-antibodies is in early exploration stages, with potential for multi-target synergistic effects [3].