长城基金汪立：短期调整蓄力，等待市场盘整向上

Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - In July, the A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.74%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 5.2%, and the ChiNext Index gaining 8.14% [1] - The average daily trading volume was approximately 1.63 trillion yuan, and the average daily margin balance was about 1.79 trillion yuan [1] - The steel, pharmaceutical, building materials, communication, and electronics sectors showed the highest gains, while banking, utilities, transportation, food and beverage, and automotive sectors lagged behind [1] Group 2: Macro Analysis - In July, the manufacturing PMI fell by 0.4 percentage points to 49.3, with production, new orders, and raw material inventory all declining [2] - New orders decreased to 49.4, and new exports dropped to 47.1, both below seasonal averages [2] - The construction PMI fell by 2.2 percentage points to 50.6, while the services PMI decreased slightly to 50, indicating a downturn in both sectors [3] Group 3: U.S. Economic Impact - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July was below expectations, with only 73,000 jobs added, leading to a drop in risk appetite globally [4] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and previous months' job additions were significantly revised downward, affecting market perceptions of the economy [4] - The adjustment in employment data has led to a decline in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and a drop in the dollar, while gold prices increased [4] Group 4: Market Strategy - The market is expected to experience a short-term adjustment followed by a potential upward trend, with high-risk preference funds possibly exiting due to a lack of continuous hot spots [5] - There is a focus on structural opportunities in industries such as AI applications, military, and non-bank sectors, while banking remains a defensive option [6] - The market is showing signs of a shift in risk appetite, with a more rational approach to investment as it moves towards a healthier state [6]