Group 1 - Major international financial institutions, including Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, and Evercore ISI, have warned clients to prepare for a potential decline in U.S. stock prices due to deteriorating economic data [1] - The S&P 500 index has rebounded sharply since its low in April, even reaching new highs, but analysts believe a slight pullback is overdue [1] - Morgan Stanley's analyst Mike Wilson predicts that the S&P 500 index could correct by as much as 10% this quarter due to the impact of U.S. tariff policies on consumers and corporate balance sheets [1] - Evercore ISI analyst Julian Emanuel anticipates a potential decline of 15% in the S&P 500 index [1] - Options trading indicates a heightened expectation of a stock market downturn, with the cost of hedging against a significant drop becoming increasingly expensive [1] Group 2 - Vanguard Group warned that the investor enthusiasm for AI stocks in the U.S. market in 2024 may have overstretched the short-term development potential of AI technology, leading to correction risks for related companies' stock prices [2] - Even if AI technology does lead to transformative changes, the leading companies may still face stock price corrections, although the timing of such corrections remains uncertain, potentially starting as late as 2025 [2]
【微特稿·投资与消费】多家国际金融机构警示美股下跌风险