硅片价格持续上涨 专家：多晶硅价格回弹后，硅片制造以不亏本为底线

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increase in silicon wafer prices due to the rebound in raw material polysilicon prices, with manufacturers setting prices to avoid losses rather than competing for sales [1][2] - The average price of various specifications of silicon wafers has increased, with N-type G10L single crystal wafers averaging 1.2 yuan/piece (up 9.09% week-on-week), N-type G12R at 1.35 yuan/piece (up 8.00%), and N-type G12 at 1.55 yuan/piece (up 7.64%) [1][2] - The overall operating rate of the industry remained stable, with major companies operating at 50% and 40%, while integrated companies operated between 50% to 80% [2] Group 2 - The increase in polysilicon prices from 35,000 yuan/ton to 45,000 yuan/ton has raised production costs for silicon wafer manufacturers, but the cost increase for component manufacturing is minimal, only 0.02 to 0.03 yuan/W [2][3] - The industry is expected to see a significant reduction in profits for small and medium enterprises if polysilicon prices fall below 40,000 yuan/ton by 2025 [3] - The National Energy Administration reported that new renewable energy installations reached 268 million kW in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 99.3%, with solar power installations doubling compared to the same period last year [3] Group 3 - Major companies like Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co. are forecasting significant losses for the first half of the year, with Longi expecting a net loss of 2.4 to 2.8 billion yuan [4][5] - Despite the losses, Longi reported an increase in component sales, but the competitive environment has led to prices falling below the industry cost line [5] - The industry is seeing a shift towards profitability in the component sector, with emerging markets showing significant growth despite slowdowns in traditional markets [5][6] Group 4 - The current inventory of polysilicon has decreased by approximately 30,000 to 40,000 tons compared to the beginning of the year, but the reduction is not substantial [6] - There are no new polysilicon production capacities expected, and some companies have halted production lines, while Tongwei is resuming a 120,000-ton annual polysilicon project [6]