Buy or Sell AIG Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Group 1 - AIG is expected to report earnings of approximately $1.60 per share and revenues of around $6.85 billion, reflecting a 4.5% increase [2] - The company has shifted focus towards property and casualty insurance following the spinoff of its life insurance and retirement segment, with anticipated recovery in underwriting results in the second quarter [2] - AIG's current market capitalization stands at $46 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months reported at $27 billion and net losses of $-1.9 billion [3] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that AIG has had 19 earnings data points over the last five years, with 14 positive and 5 negative one-day post-earnings returns, resulting in a 74% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of the 14 positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of the 5 negative returns is -1.3% [5] - Analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide a less risky trading strategy, particularly if a strong correlation exists [6]