国际观察丨印美博弈升级 莫迪为何“硬磕”

Core Viewpoint - The escalating tensions between the US and India are primarily driven by India's purchase of Russian oil, which has led to increased US tariffs on Indian products, reflecting a strategic maneuver by the Trump administration to gain leverage in trade negotiations and express frustration over the slow progress in resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1][2][3]. Trade Relations - The Trump administration has repeatedly pressured India on trade issues, including imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods starting August 1, citing high tariffs and non-tariff barriers as reasons for the limited scale of US-India trade [2][3]. - India's response has been firm, with officials stating that the longstanding relationship with Russia should not be viewed through the lens of third-party countries, and emphasizing the importance of domestic products amidst global uncertainties [2][4]. Diplomatic Dynamics - Analysts suggest that India's failure to meet US demands in trade and diplomacy has led to the deterioration of relations, with the US seeking to use pressure tactics to enhance its negotiating position [3][6]. - The US's attempts to limit Russian oil and gas exports are seen as a strategy to compel India to purchase oil from the US instead [3][4]. India's Stance - India is unlikely to yield to US pressure due to its historically strong ties with Russia, which is a major supplier of military equipment and oil, providing India with significant economic benefits [4][5]. - The Modi government is also motivated by a desire to maintain its image of independence and avoid domestic backlash from nationalist sentiments [5][6]. Bilateral Relations - The relationship between the US and India has significantly deteriorated in recent months, with growing distrust from India towards US policies and actions, particularly in light of the US's warming relations with Pakistan [6][7]. - Key diplomatic positions within the US administration remain unfilled, which may hinder efforts to repair the strained relationship [6].