Carlyle(US:CG) ZACKSยท2025-08-05 14:15Core Viewpoint - Carlyle Group (CG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.91 per share, reflecting a 16.7% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $957.66 million, a 21.4% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.6%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Segment Revenues- Realized principal investment income (loss)' at $28.84 million, an increase of 8.4% year-over-year [5]. - 'Segment Revenues- Realized performance revenues' is expected to reach $287.63 million, suggesting an 83.8% increase compared to the prior year [5]. - 'Segment Revenues- Fund management fees' is forecasted at $549.04 million, indicating a 4.5% year-over-year change [6]. - 'Segment Revenues- Transaction and portfolio advisory fees, net and other' is estimated to be $35.26 million, reflecting a 22% increase from the previous year [6]. Assets Under Management (AUM) Projections - 'Total AUM Roll Forward - Global Private Equity - EOP' is projected to be $163.92 billion, slightly down from $164.23 billion year-over-year [7]. - 'Total AUM Roll Forward - Global Investment Solutions - EOP' is expected to reach $88.23 billion, up from $80.63 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Total AUM Roll Forward - EOP' is anticipated to be $456.52 billion, compared to $434.62 billion reported in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Fee-earning AUM Roll Forward - Global Private Equity - EOP' is projected at $103.54 billion, slightly down from $103.66 billion year-over-year [8]. - 'Fee-earning AUM Roll Forward - Global Credit - EOP' is expected to reach $164.74 billion, up from $155.44 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Total AUM Roll Forward - Global Credit - EOP' is projected at $204.37 billion, compared to $189.76 billion year-over-year [9]. - 'Fee-earning AUM Roll Forward - Global Investment Solutions - EOP' is estimated at $55.70 billion, up from $48.25 billion in the same quarter last year [10]. - 'Total Fee-earning AUM Roll Forward - EOP' is expected to be $323.98 billion, compared to $307.35 billion reported in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Carlyle shares have increased by 9.9%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a 1% change [11].