Marriott Stock Up as Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, RevPAR Rises Y/Y

Core Insights - Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third consecutive quarter, leading to a 6.1% surge in stock price during pre-market trading [1][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were $2.65, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.64, and up from $2.50 in the prior-year quarter [4]. - Quarterly revenues reached $6,744 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $6,666 million, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase [4]. - Base management and franchise fees were $340 million and $860 million, respectively, marking increases of 3% and 5% year over year [5]. - Incentive management fees rose to $200 million, a 3% increase from $195 million in the prior-year quarter [5]. Revenue Metrics - Global revenue per available room (RevPAR) increased by 1.5% year over year, supported by a 1.9% rise in average daily rate (ADR), despite a 0.3% decline in occupancy [6]. - International comparable system-wide RevPAR grew by 5.3% year over year, with occupancy and ADR increasing by 0.9% and 3.9%, respectively [7]. Development and Growth - The company signed nearly 32,000 rooms during the quarter, with over 70% in international markets, ending the quarter with a record pipeline of over 590,000 rooms [3]. - Conversions accounted for approximately 30% of room signings and openings in the first half of the year, with net rooms growth expected to approach 5% for the full year [3]. Future Outlook - For Q3, management anticipates gross fee revenues between $1.310 billion and $1.325 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $1.288 billion to $1.318 billion [12]. - The company projects worldwide system-wide RevPAR growth to be flat to 1% in Q3, and for 2025, it expects RevPAR to increase by 1.5-2.5% year over year [13]. - Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is anticipated to be between $5.310 billion and $5.395 billion, with EPS expected in the range of $9.85-$10.09 [14].