Energy Fuels Set to Report Q2 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) is expected to report a loss for Q2 2025, with revenues projected at $9.40 million, reflecting a 7.8% increase year-over-year from $8.72 million in Q2 2024 [1][5]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UUUU's earnings remains unchanged at a loss of four cents per share, indicating in-line results with Q2 2024 [1][5]. - UUUU's earnings surprise history shows a negative average surprise of 55.56% over the trailing four quarters, with one earnings beat and three misses [2][3]. Production and Sales - Uranium sales resumed in Q2 2025, with 50,000 pounds sold at an average price of $77 per pound, following no sales in Q1 due to weak prices [5][9]. - The Pinyon Plain mine produced 638,700 pounds of uranium in Q2, with record monthly output of 260,000 pounds in May [5][8]. Revenue Breakdown - Q1 2025 revenues were driven entirely by Heavy Mineral Sands, totaling $16.9 billion, but were down 33.5% year-over-year due to the lack of uranium sales [10][11]. - The expected Q2 2025 revenues will reflect both uranium and Heavy Mineral Sand sales, although operating expenses are anticipated to weigh on earnings [11]. Peer Comparison - Ur Energy (URG) sold 165,000 pounds of uranium in Q2 2025 at an average price of $63.20 per pound, resulting in revenues of $10.4 million, a 123.7% year-over-year increase [12]. - Cameco Corporation (CCJ) reported a 47% year-over-year revenue increase to $634 million (CAD 877 million) for Q2 2025, with uranium revenues also rising significantly [13]. Market Position and Valuation - UUUU's stock has gained 89.7% year-to-date, outperforming the industry and broader market indices [15][16]. - The company trades at a forward sales multiple of 23.39, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.56, indicating a premium valuation [19][21]. Strategic Outlook - Energy Fuels is ramping up uranium production and advancing rare earth element (REE) capabilities, positioning itself as a pioneer in domestic HREE production [24][26]. - The company remains committed to strategic investments to expand production capacity in response to growing demand for uranium and REEs, suggesting a solid long-term holding opportunity [25][26].