American Public to Report Q2 Earnings: Here's What You Must Know

Core Insights - American Public Education (APEI) is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, after market close, with previous quarter earnings and revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates by 173.3% and 1.6% respectively [1] Financial Performance - APEI's earnings have surpassed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 122.5% [2] - For the upcoming quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss per share has widened to seven cents from six cents, indicating an 800% decline from the previous year's earnings of one cent per share [3] - Revenue expectations for the second quarter are pegged at $161 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.3% [3] Revenue Drivers - The anticipated revenue growth is attributed to strong market trends in nursing and healthcare education programs, alongside increased demand for healthcare professionals [4] - APEI expects net course registrations for the American Public University System (APUS) to rise by 4% to 7%, totaling between 93,500 and 96,100 [5] - Enrollment in the Hondros College of Nursing (HCN) is projected to grow by 14% to 3,700, while Rasmussen University (RU) is expected to see an 8% increase to 14,600 [5] Revenue Projections - Total revenues for the quarter are expected to increase by 4% to 5%, reaching between $160 million and $162 million [6] - Revenue from the APUS segment is anticipated to rise by 2.8% year-over-year to $79.2 million, while RU and HCN segments are expected to grow by 7.2% to $56.9 million and 10.9% to $18.2 million respectively [6] Margin Expectations - Despite revenue growth, margins may be compressed due to higher employee compensation and marketing costs [9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to grow between 6% and 28%, reaching $11.5 million to $14 million [11] - Total costs and expenses are expected to rise by 3.9% year-over-year to $156.5 million, with gross margin anticipated to decline by 30 basis points to 49.9% [11] Challenges - Challenges in graduate school performance due to shifting federal priorities and policies may impact quarterly results, although market tailwinds and internal capabilities are expected to mitigate these effects [7]