Microchip Set to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - Microchip Technology (MCHP) is expected to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 7, with anticipated net sales between $1.02 billion and $1.07 billion, and non-GAAP earnings projected between 18 cents and 26 cents per share [1][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 is $1.05 billion, reflecting a 15.1% decline compared to the same quarter last year [1][2] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for fiscal first-quarter earnings is set at 24 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 54.7% [2] - Microchip has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 2.42% [2] Inventory and Margin Insights - The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges, but improving inventory levels are expected to positively impact gross margins, with inventory days projected to decrease to between 215 and 225 by the end of the fiscal first quarter [3][4][7] - The previous quarter's inventory levels reached 251 days, an increase of 15 days sequentially [3] Sector Performance and Innovations - Microchip is benefiting from strong design wins in the industrial, aerospace, and automotive sectors, with innovations such as 64-bit RISC-V processors and advanced Wi-Fi solutions contributing to revenue growth [5] - The company's focus on high-growth areas like aerospace, defense, and AI is expected to enhance adoption across automotive, industrial, and AI/ML markets, further boosting revenues [5] Earnings Prediction Model - According to the Zacks model, Microchip has an Earnings ESP of -0.19% and a Zacks Rank of 2, indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat compared to other stocks with a positive Earnings ESP [6]