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上周的过山车之后,高盛这样看市场各个板块
Jin Rong Jie·2025-08-06 00:18

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Trends - The article summarizes the latest views from Goldman Sachs' trading department on market sentiment and key sectors after a volatile week [1][2] - The sentiment trend reflects traders' subjective monthly changes in investor sentiment [2] Group 2: Technology, Media, and Telecom - Key stocks currently discussed include AMZN, TXN, NXPI, MU, Hynix, AMD, and IBM, with significant focus on public cloud growth and e-commerce acceleration [3] - Major highlights from the past month include accelerated revenue growth in public cloud (Azure, GCP, AWS), e-commerce (EBAY, AMZN), and advertising (RDDT, AMZN, META) [3] - Capital expenditures for AMZN, MSFT, META, and GOOGL have been raised by approximately $50 billion to $75 billion [3] - The semiconductor index (SOX) has seen a decline for two consecutive weeks, marking the first drop since March, indicating that positive news may have been fully priced in [3] Group 3: Financial Sector - Notable stocks include FICO, RKT, HOOD, and BXP, with a focus on retail demand and interest rate impacts [4] - Recent turning points include Citigroup's share buybacks and improvements in PPNR, as well as increased activity in the capital markets [4] Group 4: Healthcare Sector - Popular stocks include UNH, NVO, CVS, and PFE, with significant attention on MEDP and CRO companies [5] - Upcoming catalysts include interpretations of MFN policies from corporate and government perspectives [5] Group 5: Consumer Sector - Key stocks include BIRK, NCLH, SBUX, CMG, and KDP, with a noted improvement in stock performance despite a weak housing industry [6] - The market is more optimistic about NKE while remaining cautious about apparel brands due to tariff challenges [6] - A report predicts that high inflation and slowing employment will continue to suppress real income growth, forecasting only a 1.3% increase in real income by Q4 2025 [6] Group 6: Industrial Sector - Key stocks include XPO, CSX, DHI, BA, and URI, with a rebound observed in underperforming stocks over the past 12 months [6] - Strong trends in AI and data centers are noted, alongside concerns regarding chemical company earnings [6] Group 7: Energy and Utilities - Popular stocks include XOM, CVX, and VST, with a cooling expectation for long-term natural gas prices [6] - Upcoming events include OPEC-8's meeting to decide on September production levels, with a market expectation of an increase of 548 thousand barrels per day [6] Group 8: Special Situations - Current discussions focus on antitrust reviews and significant railroad mergers, particularly Union Pacific's $85 billion acquisition of Norfolk Southern [7] - Upcoming catalysts include various HSR approvals and earnings reports [7]