Core Viewpoint - The British pound is facing significant challenges due to the UK's economic situation, characterized by stagnation and high inflation, leading to a potential downtrend against the US dollar in the coming months [1] Economic Conditions - The Bank of England is caught in a "stagflation" dilemma, balancing between weak economic growth and high inflation [1] - Despite inflation remaining above target levels, the central bank may have to implement excessive rate cuts due to economic weakness [1] - The tightening of fiscal policy in the UK is increasing pressure on the central bank to stimulate the economy [1] Currency Forecast - Analyst Lale Akoner predicts a downward trend for the GBP/USD exchange rate over the next 3-6 months, reflecting the divergence in monetary policies between the UK and the US [1] - The recent technical analysis shows that the GBP/USD pair has encountered resistance at the 21-day simple moving average after breaking a downward trend line [1] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 40, indicating that recent rebounds in the currency pair are merely technical corrections [1]
滞胀风险施压英镑 英国央行陷政策两难
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-06 02:41