美瑞谈判进入倒计时阶段 瑞郎迎来关键转折点

Core Viewpoint - The Swiss franc is at a critical turning point as US-Swiss trade negotiations approach a deadline, with potential implications for the currency's value depending on the outcome of the talks [1]. Group 1: Currency Performance - The USD/CHF exchange rate opened at 0.8074 and closed at 0.8071 the previous day, with a slight decline of 0.02% to 0.8070 at the time of reporting [1]. - The highest price recorded was 0.8079, while the lowest was 0.8064 [1]. Group 2: Trade Negotiations - The ongoing trade negotiations are in the final 48 hours, and if an agreement is reached by the Thursday deadline, the Swiss franc is expected to receive a short-term boost [1]. - The current stalemate poses a threat of a 39% punitive tariff on Swiss exports to the US, which could significantly impact the Swiss economy [1]. - Analysts suggest that Swiss negotiators may need to make substantial concessions to break the deadlock, potentially leading to a final agreement that exceeds initial market expectations [1]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - There is a warning that if negotiations fail and a trade war escalates, the traditionally safe-haven Swiss franc may weaken due to concerns over the impact on the export-driven Swiss economy [1]. - The foreign exchange options market indicates that traders are increasing bets on Swiss franc volatility, reflecting heightened market anxiety ahead of significant events [1].