Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-08-06 07:59Group 1 - Jefferies forecasts a decline in revenue and net profit for Mengniu Dairy in the first half of 2025, expecting a decrease of 3% and 3.5% respectively, reaching 43.3 billion yuan and 2.4 billion yuan [1] - The firm anticipates an expansion in Mengniu's gross margin and core operating profit margin due to favorable raw milk price trends and effective cost control measures [1] - Revenue forecast for Mengniu has been lowered by 1% to 3% reflecting weaker-than-expected consumer demand, while net profit forecast has been reduced by 6% to 16% due to the impact of China Modern Dairy's expected net loss in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jefferies predicts a 2.4% increase in sales and a 7.5% increase in net profit for Yili Group in the second quarter, reaching 28 billion yuan and 1.7 billion yuan respectively [1] - The chilled dairy product category is expected to achieve positive growth in the first half of the year, driven by fresh milk [1] - Yili's milk powder business continues to perform steadily, aligning with management's expectations [1]