拉加经委会预计2025年拉美和加勒比地区经济增长2.2%

Core Insights - The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) forecasts economic growth for the region at 2.2% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026, influenced by external factors such as geopolitical conflicts and tightening financial conditions, as well as internal factors like weak consumer demand [1] Economic Growth Projections - South America is expected to grow by 2.7% this year, driven by strong performances from Argentina, Ecuador, and Colombia, surpassing the regional average [1] - Central America and Mexico are projected to grow by only 1.0%, a significant decline due to reduced demand from the United States [1] - The Caribbean region (excluding Guyana) is anticipated to grow by 1.8%, showing a slowdown compared to the previous year [1] Employment and Inflation Outlook - Economic growth slowdown is expected to limit employment growth in the Latin American region [1] - Inflation rates in the region are projected to remain around 3% from 2025 to 2026, with upward pressure and risks due to potential increases in international food and energy prices [1] Recommendations for Development Financing - The report suggests enhancing development financing capabilities in Latin America through improved efficiency in fiscal spending, optimized tax management, reforms in the international financial system, better sovereign debt resolution mechanisms, and strengthening the role of development banks in resource mobilization [2]