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时报观察 两融余额重上两万亿,这次有何不同?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-08-06 22:07

Group 1 - As of August 5, the margin trading balance in A-shares reached 2,002.59 billion yuan, surpassing 2 trillion yuan again, which is a significant milestone compared to the previous peak in May 2015 during a bull market [1] - The proportion of margin trading balance to the A-share circulating market value is currently 2.31%, significantly lower than the 4.16% recorded on May 20, 2015, indicating that the growth of margin trading balance is aligned with the overall market value growth [1] - The financing buy-in amount accounted for 10.23% of A-share transaction volume on August 5, compared to 14% in 2015, suggesting that while leveraged trading is active, it has not reached excessive speculation levels [1] Group 2 - The current rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Shanghai Composite Index is between 15 and 16, whereas it was between 19 and 20 in May 2015, with peaks exceeding 23, indicating that market valuations have not rapidly increased [2] - The recent funds from margin trading have primarily flowed into sectors such as pharmaceuticals, electronics, and power equipment, with key stocks including Kweichow Moutai, CATL, and BYD, contrasting with the financial sector focus during the 2014-2015 period [1] - The recent meeting of the China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized the need to consolidate the market's recovery and improve market monitoring and risk response capabilities, suggesting a more robust regulatory environment [2]