中国工程院院士刘中民：智能化工技术助力实现“双碳”目标

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the intelligent chemical model 2.0Pro by Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics and iFlytek marks a significant technological advancement for China's chemical industry, facilitating the transition from laboratory to factory [1] Group 1: DMTO Technology and Its Impact - DMTO technology has been developed since the 1980s and has reached its third generation, with a single unit's methanol processing capacity now at 3.6 million tons per year [2] - The technology has signed contracts for 36 units, with a total capacity exceeding 24 million tons of olefins per year, of which 20 units are already in operation [2] - DMTO technology significantly reduces carbon emissions by about 50% compared to traditional coal combustion methods, making it a crucial direction for clean and efficient coal utilization [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The domestic petrochemical industry is accelerating its transformation towards "new chemical materials" amid rising international oil price volatility [2] - Under the "dual carbon" goals, renewable energy generation is expected to account for 35% of total power generation by 2024, leading to a predicted decline in domestic refined oil demand to 100 million tons by 2050, less than 30% of current levels [2] - DMTO technology, utilizing coal as a stable and controllable raw material, is positioned to meet the growing demand for high-end chemical products and new materials [2] Group 3: Challenges in Energy Transition - The complexity of China's energy and industrial systems poses challenges for scientific decision-making and the determination of technological pathways for energy transition [6] - The integration of artificial intelligence with scientific research and industrial development is still in the exploratory stage, indicating a need for deeper coupling to fully leverage its application value [6] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To achieve energy security, the industry should focus on "oil-chemical switching" through catalytic technology, which can facilitate the production of both oil products and chemicals [8] - In the hydrogen energy and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) sectors, a systematic layout and original breakthroughs are essential to seize technological advantages [9] Group 5: Role of Artificial Intelligence - The rapid development of artificial intelligence presents new opportunities and challenges for traditional research fields, particularly in chemical engineering, which involves complex dynamic systems [14] - The goal is to develop intelligent chemical processes that can transition from laboratory to factory in a single step, addressing the long-standing challenges of scaling up chemical technology [14]