凯投宏观：印度今明两年经济增长或放缓至6%左右

Core Viewpoint - The increase of tariffs on Indian goods to 50% by the U.S. is expected to significantly impact India's economic growth, reducing the forecast from 7% to nearly 6% for 2025 and 2026 [1] Economic Impact - Higher tariffs are anticipated to lead to a substantial decline in exports from India [1] - The potential implementation of an additional 25% tariff could severely undermine India's attractiveness as an emerging manufacturing hub [1] Global Oil Market - If India responds by reducing its purchases from Russia, there may be an increase in global oil prices [1]