“千亿城区”扩容，深圳南山GDP近万亿，16个城区新晋级|言叶知新

Core Insights - The report indicates that China's urban GDP is projected to grow from 45.2 trillion yuan in 2020 to 57.2 trillion yuan by 2024, with an average annual compound growth rate of 6.1% [1] - The number of "billion-yuan urban areas" is expected to increase from 111 in 2020 to 171 in 2024, reflecting a continuous expansion of economic hubs [1][2] - The report employs a comprehensive evaluation system based on 23 indicators, assessing urban areas across five dimensions: economic strength, growth momentum, endogenous support, regional capability, and shared development [1] Economic Performance - In 2024, the number of urban areas with GDP exceeding 200 billion yuan and 300 billion yuan has increased to 45 and 22, respectively [2] - The total GDP of the 45 "two-thousand billion urban areas" amounts to 14.7 trillion yuan, accounting for 46.8% of the total GDP of the 171 "billion-yuan urban areas" [2] - The first tier of "billion-yuan urban areas" includes Shenzhen's Nanshan and Futian districts, and Guangzhou's Tianhe district, with Nanshan's GDP nearing 9,500 billion yuan [3][5] Consumption and Investment Trends - The overall scale of the urban consumption market is expanding, with retail sales of consumer goods projected to rise from 18.57 trillion yuan in 2020 to 23.10 trillion yuan in 2024 [6] - The report highlights a rebound in average investment growth in urban areas, indicating a positive trend for fixed asset investment during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [7] Future Development Trends - The report identifies six major trends for urban development in the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, including a shift from technology catch-up to original innovation leadership [8] - Recommendations for high-quality urban economic development focus on five key pathways, such as promoting deep integration of "science and technology + industry" and advancing green transformation guided by "dual carbon" goals [8]