美关税等因素致德国工业产出创五年新低

Core Insights - Germany's industrial output in June decreased by 1.9% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year, reaching the lowest level since May 2020, primarily due to external pressures such as U.S. tariffs [1] - The construction sector saw a month-on-month increase of 0.7%, while the energy sector grew by 3.1%. However, excluding these sectors, industrial output fell by 2.8% [1] - The machinery, pharmaceuticals, and food industries experienced significant declines in output, with decreases of 5.3%, 11%, and 6.3% respectively [1] - In the second quarter, Germany's industrial output decreased by 1% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs noted that the initial recovery in the first quarter was influenced by preemptive purchasing due to tariff expectations, but this effect faded in the second quarter [1] - Analysts suggest that the latest industrial output data dampens expectations of a cyclical rebound in Germany's industrial sector, with U.S. tariffs expected to further hinder economic growth [1] Trade Insights - Germany's exports to the U.S. fell by 2.1% month-on-month in June, marking the third consecutive month of decline and the lowest level since February 2022 [2]