Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-08-08 02:59Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the accelerating growth of orders for automated sanitation equipment, indicating a trend of scattered volume increase in the market for unmanned sanitation solutions [1][4]. Investment Highlights - The automation and intelligence of urban sanitation operations are achieved through unmanned equipment, categorized into small-tonnage and large-tonnage devices, as well as humanoid robots for closed-loop scenarios [2]. - Small-tonnage unmanned devices are expected to be more economical, with one unit plus one operator potentially replacing 3-4 workers, leading to significant cost savings [2]. - The market for unmanned sanitation equipment is projected to reach a scale of hundreds of billions, with varying estimates based on the adoption rate of unmanned operations [3]. Market Space Estimation - The market space for small and large-tonnage unmanned devices is estimated at 575 billion to 1,522 billion yuan, depending on the adoption rate of 20%, 30%, or 40% [3]. - The report emphasizes the need for active participation and strategic positioning by various stakeholders in the unmanned sanitation sector to address labor shortages and enhance mechanization rates [4]. Order Growth and Trends - The number of awarded projects for automated sanitation is expected to increase significantly, with 82 projects worth 4.87 billion yuan in 2024 and over 90 projects worth 5.58 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. - The estimated total for awarded projects in 2025 is projected to exceed 180, with a total value of approximately 11.16 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 129% [1][4]. Economic Analysis - The economic viability of small-tonnage unmanned devices is highlighted, with a price point of 300,000 yuan per unit, which could become economically advantageous as prices decrease to 200,000 yuan [2]. - Large-tonnage unmanned vehicles currently lack economic feasibility but could become viable if prices drop to 600,000 yuan [2]. Company Participation - Various companies are actively developing and deploying unmanned sanitation solutions, including 盈峰环境, 宇通重工, 福龙马, and others, indicating a robust competitive landscape [4]. - The report suggests that the transition to unmanned sanitation will help companies reduce costs and increase profitability, with projected performance elasticity for several companies ranging from 76% to 296% [5].