

Core Viewpoint - Dongfeng Motor Group Co., Ltd. is experiencing a significant decline in expected net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a decrease of 90% to 95% year-on-year, despite a recovery in profitability compared to the second half of the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 30 million to 70 million RMB for the first half of 2025, indicating a substantial decline compared to the previous year [1] - The stock price increased over 7% in early trading, settling at 5.83 HKD with a trading volume of 338 million HKD [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The joint venture non-luxury brand market continues to decline, leading to a significant drop in sales and profits for the company's joint venture passenger vehicle business [1] - The company is increasing investments in research and development, brand and channel building, and marketing to cope with intense market competition [1] Group 3: Strategic Transition - Dongfeng is undergoing a critical transformation, shifting its revenue structure from primarily commercial vehicles to a focus on passenger vehicles [1] - The company's past profitability relied heavily on investment income from joint ventures such as Dongfeng Nissan and Honda, but the rise of its own passenger vehicle business, particularly the high-end brand Lantu, is becoming a core growth driver [1] - New models like Nano 06 and Fengshen L8 are being continuously launched in the mainstream market, which is expected to improve the profitability model through economies of scale [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - The commercial vehicle segment is expected to see a significant recovery in 2024, aided by the early implementation of vehicle replacement policies and improved execution efficiency [1]